Fragmented votes paved way for BJP landslide victory, BJP and its allies got the maximum of the seats in UP and BIHAR because of the division of the votes of SECULAR parties.
BJP is able to win 282 seats with just around 31%votes (BJP got around 190 million vote) and NDA got about 39% votes and secure around 325 seats..While in earlier election party securing absolute majority got votes in the range of 48.8% ( 414 seats in 1984 ) to 40 .8 % votes (283 seats out of 520 seats in 1967 ). In this election Congress and it allies got 23.5% votes and secure only 59 seats out of 543 seats. Congress alone secured around 19.3% of the total votes polled in 2014 election and got only 44 seats, ( congress got more than 105 million of votes). It may be mentioned over here that in 2009 election BJP got as high as 116 seats by securing only 18.3% of votes.
In 2014 election, the combined vote share of both Congress and BJP together come around just 50% and they secured 282,and 44.seats respectively. It should be mention over here that around 69% of voters have voted to NON BJP party in this election and they have secure around 218 seat only..
Vote share of 38.5% of NDA is the lowest for coalition has ever obtained , But even with 38.5% vote share NDA have got as high as 325 seats.
Vote share of the congress and its allies and those parties who had extended out side support to UPA–1 in 2009 election was around 47% gave them only 320. seats only. While in 2014 election the combined vote share of NDA is merely 38.5% and even with this vote they got around 325 seats( Which is much lower then the 47% vote share of UPA-1 .
Hence,BJP will form the government with the lowest popular support in the history of 67 years of Indian democracy
It may be concluded that in 2014 election, Around 69% voters did not votes for BJP, But it will still enjoy the fruits of the power. by getting the .absolute majority
This is is a result of non bi polar .party system of our country
Thus , it will not be fair to say that the other parties are completely routed or finished ,However they may be defeated but are not out…
All non BJP parties who have faith in the concept of secularism should now have to fight unitedly by keeping their self interest and minor differences. Prior to 2004 election, When NDA was in power, then congress leader ,particularly Mrs. Gandhi took a bold initiative and approach to different party and and their leaders to form under standing and alliance and they were success full in forming the government after the 2004 election. Present situation demands that all secular parties should form an understanding. Mrs Sonia Gandhi has to take the lead and should talk to all the parties i.e SP, BSP, JD (U ), DMK, YSR congress, TRS, Biju Janta Dal, RLD, RJD,TMC etc. etc., including smaller parties to give united fight to NDA
. RJD chief Sri Lalu YADAV and Sri Nitish Kumar should be congratulated ,as they have form an under standing in BIHAR . Even in States, Major parties should make sincere efforts to make understanding with the leaders of minor parties in their state. This is the only course left for them. congress too has to grown up a leader or leaders , who can communicate with the masses in effective manner and have ability to make direct contact with the grass root party workers.Late Rajesh Pilot was a man , who was a deep rooted mass leader. and other non BJP part should learn from this election and should make all out sincere and dedicated efforts for their survivable.These party has to work as constructive opposition.
Analysis of the votting pattern in UP and BIHAR
BIHAR——– Total seat in BIHAR are 40, Seat won by BJP is 22, LJP is 06 and RLSP is 03, i.e Total seats won by NDA in 2014 election are 31 i.e 77.5% of the total 40 seats.. It may be mention over here that BJP alone has got 22 seats by having vote share of 29.4% i.e 55% of the total seats 40.,While LJP got 06 seats (i.e 15% of the total seat 40) with the vote share of 6.4% only. RLSP got 03 seats ( 7.5% of the total seat 40) with the vote share of only 3.0%.
Now look at the other side of the story . Non NDA parties i.e RJD, Congress, NCP and Janta Dal-United got total 09 seats out of total 40 seats (i.e 22.5% of the total seat 40 ) in spite of getting vote share of around 60% . RJD got vote share of 20.4% and got only 4 seat i.e 10% of the total 40 seat, Congress vote share was 8.4% and seat won 02 i.e 5.5% of the total seat, NCP got vote share of 1.2% and got 01 seat . In other words Congress and its allies got 30.5 votes and could secure only 07 seats i.e 17.5% of the total 40 seat. JD (U) got vote share of 15.8% and could get only 02 seat i.e merely 5% of the total 40 seat. Hence non NDA party secure as high as 60.3% vote and secure only 22.5% seat i.e total 09 seat out of 40 seat. , This indicate the clear cut split among the secular votes.
UP.—–
BJP got 71 seat out of 80 seat i.e as high as 88.75% of the total 80 seat From its vote share of merely 42.3%, While all non BJP parties has secured as high as 57.7% of vote and could secure only remaining 09 seat out of 80 seat i.e only 11.25%o of the total seat. SP and BSP secure each around 20% or more votes , BSP draw blank ,While SP could get only 05 seat i.e about 6.0 % of the seat.Congress could get only 02 seats with the vote share of nearly 8 %.RLD could not won a single seat
UP and BIHAR has provide 93 seats to BJP which is about 345 of their total 282 seats.It may be mention over here that NDA have got as high as 104 seats from these two states.
BJP , NDA and Particular Our NEW PRIME MINISTER Sri Narendra Modiji deserve all appreciation, greeting and congratulation on his great victory.
J.K. Garg